Summary

 

Asia will play a leading role in the world’s green transition, especially in the clean energy sector, given its manufacturing sophistication, technological development, and vast natural resources. This will create investment opportunities in the solar and wind energy sectors, as well as within the Electric Vehicles (EV) supply chain.

In our whitepaper “Asia 2.0: Investing in an era of new opportunities ”, we highlighted that Asia’s transformation will create opportunities in the renewable energy and EV sectors. Asia is expected to account for 40% of the world’s GDP by 2030 and the region’s strong growth will be accompanied by rising energy demand. With coal currently accounting for most of the region’s power generation, the path to secure a more sustainable future makes Asia one of the world’s largest markets for renewable energy. China is currently the world’s biggest producer of solar and wind energy; South Korea is pioneering hydrogen technology, and India is making strides in manufacturing solar panels and equipment.

The electrification of transport will also be a critical aspect of Asia’s green transition. According to the International Environmental Agency (IEA), road transport accounts for 24% of direct CO2 emissions. Asia’s increasing technological capabilities can enable it to spearhead the electrification of the transport industry. Asia already has niche capabilities along the EV supply chain – from vast nickel reserves in Indonesia to hydrogen fuel cell and battery technology in South Korea.

Renewable Energy

By 2030, Asia’s renewable energy (RE) capacity is expected to reach 2.4 Terawatts, accounting for 57.4% of global capacity, with China and India contributing the majority. Fig. 1.

Fig. 1. Asia’s Renewable Energy capacity1 (gigawatt)

an image of Asia’s Renewable Energy capacity1 (gigawatt)

Source: Fitch Solutions.

China is leading the RE transition in Asia, particularly in solar. Currently, China’s solar power capacity accounts for 39% of global solar power capacity and is expected to rise to 43% by 2030. Fig. 2. The country is a major producer of key components used in solar panel production - polysilicon, ingot and wafers. The IEA estimates that by 2025, China will have a 95% share of global polysilicon, ingot and wafer production.

Fig. 2. Solar power capacity by country (% of global solar capacity)

Solar power capacity by country (% of global solar capacity)

Source: Fitch Solutions.

India’s transition from coal-based power is also pushing it to develop stronger capabilities in solar cell and module manufacturing. By 2030, India is expected to add over 120GW of renewable energy from 2022, with solar accounting for more than two thirds of this capacity increase.

Besides solar, China is also a major wind power equipment manufacturer, and the largest market for both onshore and offshore wind. Its lower costs makes it an attractive alternative to Western wind-turbine makers. Between 2022 and 2030, China is expected to almost double its wind capacity to 747GW. Fig. 3.

Fig. 3. China wind capacity (gigawatt)

China wind capacity (gigawatt)

Source: Fitch Solutions.

Meanwhile, South Korea wants 22% of its energy to come from renewable sources by 2030 and has ambitions to be a leading offshore wind region. South Korea’s offshore wind capacity is forecasted to increase by more than sixfold to 858MW between 2022 and 2030. Fig. 4. While the country is building up its wind capacity, it is a leader in hydrogen energy, accounting for half of the world’s installed capacity for utility-scale stationary fuel cells. By 2030, South Korea’s hydrogen industry is expected to reach USD20 billion.

Fig. 4. South Korea’s renewable energy ambition

South Korea’s renewable energy ambition

Source: Fitch Solutions. Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy.

EVs and EV-related supply chains

Against the backdrop of climate change, the future of transport will be electric. With fossil fuels being burnt to keep cars, trains, trucks, and ships moving and airplanes flying, electrification is key in the transition to greener vehicles.

Globally, market penetration is low with passenger EVs accounting for only 15% of total vehicle sales. EV adoption across Asia has been uneven. In 2022, 27.6% of total vehicles sold in China were EVs (See Fig. 5) while passenger EVs accounted for less than 1% of total vehicles sales in Indonesia. Countries’ zero-carbon targets, better charging infrastructure as well as cheaper and more efficient batteries will increase EV adoption going forward. By 2030, Asia is expected to make up 52% of global passenger EV sales. For now, there is a vast, untapped market ripe for electrification in many Asian economies. As the world’s largest EV manufacturer, China is well positioned to benefit from growing global demand for EVs.

Fig. 5. EV sales as % of total vehicle sales in China

Image of EV sales as % of total vehicle sales in China

Source: Fitch Solutions.

While internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) compete on engine and transmission, EVs compete on their batteries. Battery costs is the largest single factor in the price differential between EVs and ICEVs. The battery determines the EV’s range and safety, and the charging infrastructure, which can influence a potential EV buyer’s decision. Hence EV batteries and their supply chain play key roles in the electrification of transport. Asia is an important player within the EV battery supply chain. The world’s largest EV battery makers are China, South Korea and Japan.

Indonesia has extensive reserves in nickel, a key component in EV batteries. Its vision to develop downstream mineral processing and to be a key player in the EV battery industry can transform the economy and support the next stage of economic growth. Refined nickel production in Indonesia is expected to increase by nearly threefold to 828kt between 2022 and 2030. Fig. 6.

Fig. 6. Indonesia’s nickel reserves and production

Indonesia’s nickel reserves and production

Source: United States Geological Survey.

Participating in Asia’s green growth

Asia’s renewable energy and EV companies as well as those operating within the EV-related supply chain present opportunities for both equity and bond investors. Sustainable debt issuance in Emerging Asia (ex-China) hit USD35 billion in 2021 and since 2013, utilities, financials and energy companies have accounted for nearly 70% of total issuance.

Active investing is still important when navigating these sectors, as hype may have pushed valuations up. Rising raw material costs and intense price competition may also temper the profitability of selected companies and sectors. In some sectors, government support and cheap financing may have led to overcapacity issues. Meanwhile, the technical know-how to adapt quickly to new regulatory requirements and consumer preferences will separate the leaders from the pack. It is often worthwhile to dig deeper beyond the obvious names for hidden investment opportunities.


Interesting reads

Know more
Top Economic News

in insights

Multi asset

Top Economic News

15 Apr

Money Market

in insights

Money Market

14 Apr

Equity Market

in insights

Equity

Equity Market

14 Apr

China: Awaiting the catalysts

in insights

Equity

China: Awaiting the catalysts

10 Apr | Jingjing Weng

The worst of the Chinese economy appears to be behind us, but the road ahead remains bumpy.

Asia ex-Japan equities: Prospects for higher returns as corporates “value-up”

in insights

Equity

Asia ex-Japan equities: Prospects for higher returns as corporates “value-up”

03 Apr | Sundeep Bihani

Asian governments are asking companies to boost returns by improving profitability ...

Not out of the woods yet

in insights

Multi asset

Not out of the woods yet

27 Mar | Nupur Gupta

Our multi asset team is tactically bullish on risk assets given the strong growth data ...

Monthly Views March

in insights

Multi asset

Monthly Views March

20 Mar

Global growth is likely to decelerate over the following months as the lagged effects ...

No big surprise from Bank of Japan

in insights

Equity

No big surprise from Bank of Japan

20 Mar

The Bank of Japan formally exited its negative interest rate policy and raised rates ...

Attractive upside potential for Emerging Market debt

in insights

Fixed income

Attractive upside potential for Emerging Market debt

13 Mar | Eric Fang

GEM bonds continue to have the potential to deliver double digit returns once the US ...

Sources:
1 Refers to the maximum output that grid-connected non-hydro renewables (solar, wind, biomass, marine, geothermal) generating equipment can supply to system load, adjusted for ambient conditions.
2 Asia includes economies as per United Nations Statistics Division’s geographical classification of Asia, including Taiwan

This document is produced by Eastspring Investments (Singapore) Limited and issued in:

Singapore by Eastspring Investments (Singapore) Limited (UEN: 199407631H)

Australia (for wholesale clients only) by Eastspring Investments (Singapore) Limited (UEN: 199407631H), which is incorporated in Singapore, is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian financial services licence and is licensed and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore under Singapore laws which differ from Australian laws

Hong Kong by Eastspring Investments (Hong Kong) Limited and has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong.

Indonesia by PT Eastspring Investments Indonesia, an investment manager that is licensed, registered and supervised by the Indonesia Financial Services Authority (OJK).

Malaysia by Eastspring Investments Berhad (200001028634/ 531241-U) and Eastspring Al-Wara’ Investments Berhad (200901017585 / 860682-K).

Thailand by Eastspring Asset Management (Thailand) Co., Ltd.

United States of America (for institutional clients only) by Eastspring Investments (Singapore) Limited (UEN: 199407631H), which is incorporated in Singapore and is registered with the U.S Securities and Exchange Commission as a registered investment adviser.

European Economic Area (for professional clients only) and Switzerland (for qualified investors only) by Eastspring Investments (Luxembourg) S.A., 26, Boulevard Royal, 2449 Luxembourg, Grand-Duchy of Luxembourg, registered with the Registre de Commerce et des Sociétés (Luxembourg), Register No B 173737.

United Kingdom (for professional clients only) by Eastspring Investments (Luxembourg) S.A. - UK Branch, 10 Lower Thames Street, London EC3R 6AF.

Chile (for institutional clients only) by Eastspring Investments (Singapore) Limited (UEN: 199407631H), which is incorporated in Singapore and is licensed and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore under Singapore laws which differ from Chilean laws.

The afore-mentioned entities are hereinafter collectively referred to as Eastspring Investments.

The views and opinions contained herein are those of the author, and may not necessarily represent views expressed or reflected in other Eastspring Investments’ communications. This document is solely for information purposes and does not have any regard to the specific investment objective, financial situation and/or particular needs of any specific persons who may receive this document. This document is not intended as an offer, a solicitation of offer or a recommendation, to deal in shares of securities or any financial instruments. It may not be published, circulated, reproduced or distributed without the prior written consent of Eastspring Investments. Reliance upon information in this document is at the sole discretion of the reader. Please carefully study the related information and/or consult your own professional adviser before investing.

Investment involves risks. Past performance of and the predictions, projections, or forecasts on the economy, securities markets or the economic trends of the markets are not necessarily indicative of the future or likely performance of Eastspring Investments or any of the funds managed by Eastspring Investments.

Information herein is believed to be reliable at time of publication. Data from third party sources may have been used in the preparation of this material and Eastspring Investments has not independently verified, validated or audited such data. Where lawfully permitted, Eastspring Investments does not warrant its completeness or accuracy and is not responsible for error of facts or opinion nor shall be liable for damages arising out of any person’s reliance upon this information. Any opinion or estimate contained in this document may subject to change without notice.

Eastspring Investments companies (excluding joint venture companies) are ultimately wholly owned/indirect subsidiaries of Prudential plc of the United Kingdom. Eastspring Investments companies (including joint venture companies) and Prudential plc are not affiliated in any manner with Prudential Financial, Inc., a company whose principal place of business is in the United States of America or with the Prudential Assurance Company Limited, a subsidiary of M&G plc (a company incorporated in the United Kingdom).