Technology: The enabler of financial inclusion

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Having a bank account is one of the basic requirements of life as we know it. Yet many low-income households remain ‘unbanked’ and thereby ‘excluded’ from financial services, such as banking services, insurance coverage and investment products. The question is: Can the innovative use of financial technology (fintech) help mitigate this issue, and deepen financial inclusion?

Virginie Maisonneuve, Chief Investment Officer
Eastspring Investments

Apr 2019


Bank accounts provide a safe way to store money and amass savings. They also make it easier for individuals to access credit, make purchases and pay bills, as well as send or receive remittances.

Having an account therefore is typically the first step towards financial inclusion – the pursuit of making financial services accessible at affordable costs to all individuals and businesses1.

Financial inclusion on a widespread scale, however, is yet to be achieved in many developing economies.

The financially excluded

Around 1.7 billion adults worldwide (31% of the global population) remain ‘unbanked’ – that is, without an account either at a financial institution or via a mobile money service provider2.

China and India, for example, despite having high account ownership, claim the two largest ‘unbanked’ populations because of their absolute sizes (see Fig.1). In Sub-Saharan Africa, only 42.6% of adults own an account, the lowest ownership amongst other regions3.

Fig. 1: Seven developing economies house half of all unbanked adults4

fig1-financial-inclusion

In addition, gender inequality is more prominent in developing economies, where women tend to stay at home to care for children rather than join the work force. The result is that only 59% of women in developing economies own a bank account, which is 9 percentage points less likely than men; in contrast, the gap is just 1 percentage point in high-income (OECD) economies5.

What is the reason for such exclusion? Why is financial inclusion important for the developing world? How can fintech help to reduce these gaps?

A prosperity enabler

Necessary for everyone, financial inclusion strives to resolve constraints that exclude people – especially the low-income individuals working in the wages-in-cash sector – from accessing financial services. Such inclusion will help them to:

  • pay and receive money quickly and reliably;
  • access credit to finance homes and start businesses;
  • access insurance products addressing vulnerabilities associated with unexpected risks and financial shocks;
  • access investment products to grow wealth.

Without an account, these individuals are unlikely to achieve any form of prosperity, thereby hindering their upward mobility.

Such exclusion, as indicated in the much lower 63% account ownership, is more prominent in low-income economies (mostly developing economies), whereas 94% of adults own an account in high-income economies (see Fig. 2).

Fig. 2: Account ownership differs substantially even within income groups6

fig2-financial-inclusion

Low-income individuals aside, micro-small-medium-enterprises (MSMEs), which employ nearly two thirds of employees in low-income economies7, also face a lack of access to finance for expansion.

If such inefficiency is eliminated, gross domestic product (GDP) will potentially increase by 14% in large developing economies such as India (based on the 2015 nominal GDP)8. In frontier markets, the resulting upside could be up to 30%.

Financial inclusion, therefore, serves as a key enabler in achieving financial stability and, over time, accumulating wealth and thereby alleviating poverty.

The roadblocks

Advancing financial inclusion, however, faces a host of barriers, notably geographical and infrastructure challenges.

In the first place, it is not commercially viable to provide financial services for many low-income individuals in rural areas in emerging economies.

Simply put, their net worth is below the minimum profitable threshold to encourage financial institutions to set up physical branches or even automated teller machines (ATMs) in such areas. Inhabitants of some of Indonesia’s remote islands, for example, must commute for two to four hours to visit a bank branch if they want to open an account.

Geographical challenges aside, other common roadblocks include:

  • Proof of identity
  • Lack of credit history
  • Inadequate financial literacy

Mobile networks pave the way

Whilst these roadblocks can be intimidating, digital technology and artificial intelligence now provide solutions for overcoming many of them. In addition, the rising use of mobile-cellular and smartphones (see Fig. 3) serves as an important gateway.

Fig. 3: Rising use of mobile phones in developing economies9

fig3-financial-inclusion

In the rural areas of sub-Saharan Africa, for example, formal banks are relatively rare and fixed-line infrastructure is limited – yet mobile-cellular phones are extremely common. This allows mobile network operators to offer primitive chequing accounts that allow transactions to be made via simple text messages.

In that way employees can receive their wages directly into their mobile-phone accounts without delay, saving on travelling long distances to collect the money.

It is therefore not surprising that mobile phone penetration and financial inclusion are mutually reinforcing. From 2014 to 2017, 515 million adults opened an account globally, and the number of mobile phone subscribers increased by 860 million9.

The overall result of these forces can also be seen in the rapid growth of digital payments.

In 2017, seven out of 10 account owners in developing economies made payments digitally (mobile phone or the internet), up significantly from a participation rate of 57% in 201410.

That said, pervasive mobile phone access is just a starting point for inclusive finance for individuals and small businesses.

Biometric technology

Globally, there are 1 billion adults with no form of officially recognised identity documents (ID)11. This has precluded many from accessing basic financial services.

Thanks to biometric identification (e.g. facial, retina or fingerprint recognition) and mobile connectivity, digital identity is helping this disadvantaged demographic to gain access to online financial services, while leapfrogging the hurdle of the costly traditional proof-of-identity documents.

India’s voluntary digital identification programme is exemplary.

More than 90% of the country’s population now have a biometric-based personal identification called ‘Aadhaar’12. With this 12-digit number, residents of India can now draw a pension, buy food and transfer money, even without a mobile phone.

With just a micro ATM, banking correspondents13 in remote villages can quickly verify a new customer’s identity by matching their Aadhaar biometrics, and thus offer banking services.

Anecdotal evidence suggests that the scheme has allowed the Indian government to save USD12.4 billion by eliminating middlemen and other transaction costs14.

At the same time, the gender gap of financial inclusion has shrunk to 6 percentage points from 20 percentage points from 2014 to 201715, as more women can receive welfare payments via Aadhaar-linked bank accounts.

This revolution, however, is not without its difficulties. Occasional news reports surrounding mobile devices failing to recognise fingerprints16 have been around since the launch of Aadhaar.

Nevertheless, there are reasons to remain optimistic. In September 2018, the Supreme Court in India said the Aadhaar scheme was constitutionally valid and meant to help benefits reach the marginalised sections17.

Beyond personal banking, digital identification technology is also expanding into small business financing; and artificial intelligence is at the forefront.

Machine learning and big data

More than 40% of MSMEs in the least-developed countries reported challenges in obtaining financing – much higher than the 15% in high-income regions18; the credit value gap thereof is estimated at USD176 billion in developing economies19.

Despite such potential business, the hefty costs involved in hiring credit approvers have hindered banks and financial institutions from offering loans to MSMEs.

This data intensive nature suggests that lending is a business more suited to machine learning (see Fig. 4) in credit risk modelling, using financial data to predict default risk.

Fig. 4: Applications of artificial intelligence in financial services20

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By leveraging the vast power of big data and artificial intelligence algorithms (superseding human approvers), lending companies can now evaluate credit applications and make approval decisions within minutes.

This is particularly important for the developing world, where many depend heavily on agriculture and small business activities to make a living.

Connecting farmers in China

To illustrate, Chinese farmers’ access to conventional bank loans has been restricted due to limited credit scoring data and the complicated evaluation process.

This has forced them to secure credit from ‘shadow banks’ and pay exorbitant interest rates. During the planting season, the interest rates could be up to 60% per annum – not to mention the lengthy application process of at least three to five days.

In China, today, it only takes a few minutes over a mobile phone to obtain an unsecured loan of up to RMB 100,000 (USD14,440). This could not be achieved without the algorithmic assessment of credit scoring; and, if necessary, including digital footprints to fill the credit history gap. As a result, interest rates can be lowered to around 10% p.a21.

This trend is thriving: Ant Financial Services, for example, has 38.24 million registered farmers in China who use its online loan service22. The fintech company leverages the big data on repayments and sales from Alipay – the largest digital payment platform in China – together with the databases of local banks for pre-approved small amount loans.

The company’s pioneering ‘310 model’ – a small business loan which takes less than ‘three’ minutes to apply for on a mobile phone, less than ‘one’ second to approve and ‘zero’ human intervention – has maintained a low nonperforming loan (NPL) ratio at around 1%23.

While fintech brings prosperity, insurance acts as a safety net that safeguards households against unexpected medical expenses and crop failures, as well as the risk of slipping back into poverty.

Closing the protection gap

Unfortunately, about 3.8 billion individuals remain uninsured24. This population is therefore vulnerable to the financial shocks associated with the lack of life and property insurance.

Why is it hard to achieve inclusive insurance?

One explanation is that insurance policies are too difficult for the average member of low-income populations to understand.

Simplifying products is a viable option. Insurance products that pay a lump sum for medical costs, for example, are much more acceptable.

Traditional policies are also too expensive for individuals who have little in the way of savings.

Microinsurance is the solution

Mainly sold digitally in partnership with mobile phone companies and banks, microinsurance offers simple and low-ticket products. Their small and regular premium payments make protection affordable to the low-income group.

In Zimbabwe, for example, Econet Wireless created a weather-indexed microinsurance cover called EcoFarmer, which is aimed at small scale farmers.

This scheme enables farmers to insure their crops against risk of excessive dry days and excessive rainfall for as little as USD2.50 per year (from their prepared phone accounts) for USD25 worth of cover.

So successful is the initiative that EcoFarmer has over 700,000 registered farmers25.

As microinsurance emerges, some 500 million microinsurance policies have been sold globally over the past decade26.

Yet there are still very large uninsured populations in the developing world which insurers can look to attract.

The problem is that financial literacy – knowledge about managing personal finances and how to use the right investment products – remains a challenge.

More accessible advisory services

Regardless of the technology used, financial services must be tailored to the needs of the less-wealthy or first-time users, and those who may have low financial literacy.

Financial advice or guidance, therefore, is one of the key components to making investment decisions, thereby achieving inclusive investing.

Fortunately, robo-advisory services (i.e. chatbots) present a breakthrough in financial education. With automated, algorithm-based robo-advisers, advisory services are now affordable to a broader audience.

With chatbots, investors can now start investing with as little as USD1 – and at about 0.36%, the average management fee is just one third of human advisers27.

Such lower entry thresholds are creating a more inclusive environment for the disadvantaged population, not only in advanced economies, but also in the developing world.

China, for example, has been rapidly developing robo-advisory services. The country now has the world’s second largest robo-advisory market (see Fig. 5), which is driven by individuals seeking investment guidance from robo-advisers and other digital means28.

Fig. 5: China is the only developing economy in the top five robo-advisory markets29

The rise of such fintech, however, has created challenges for traditional financial institutions.

A virtuous cycle

Commercial banks, insurance companies and wealth managers are under pressure to reinvent their infrastructure if they do not want to miss the shifting trend.

Such challenges, if embraced, will translate into a virtuous cycle of impact investing.

Banks in developing countries, for example, could generate additional annual revenues of USD200 billion – about one-fifth of their 2016 revenues30 – if they can help financially excluded individuals and MSMEs gain access to credit.

Insurers that can use mobile phones as alternative channels are more likely to reach out to about 1.5-3 billion policies in the developing world31. By providing insurance, such as microinsurance, to protect disadvantaged populations, insurers would also enjoy a larger and diversified risk pool.

That said, collaboration with fintech companies is crucial to unlocking such value, in addition to making positive social impacts.

We believe fintech companies with scalable solutions and technologies – especially those in Asia – will also benefit from the large unbanked population and robust economic growth thereof.

Yet, there is still a need to be selective, as there is a high level of variation in successful fintech innovation among financial institutions and fintech companies. Exotic technology aside, good execution and solid business models are also important.


Virginie-Maisonneuve

Virginie Maisonneuve

Chief Investment Officer

Eastspring Investments

How to invest in Eastspring's fund(s)

Sources:
1 Investopedia: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/financial-inclusion.asp.
2 World Bank Group: The Global Financial Inclusion Database 2017, Figure 2.1. An account at a bank, a microfinance institution, or another type of regulated financial institution.
3 World Bank Group: 2018 The Little Data Book on Financial Inclusion. Sub-Saharan Africa: 42.6% (age 15+), data for 2017. Page 8.
4 World Bank Group: The Global Financial Inclusion (Global Findex) Database 2017. Data are not displayed for economies where the share of adults without an account is 5% or less. Figure 2.1.
5 Global Findex database. Figure O.1. Male and female over the age of 15. High-income OECD economies versus developing countries.
6 World Bank Group. Global Findex database 2017. Figure 1.1. Page 18.
7 Matt Gamser, the CEO of the SME Finance Forum.
8 Asian Development Bank: Accelerating Financial Inclusion In South-East Asia With Digital Finance, citing Oliver Wyman analysis, Exhibit 9 (P. 41), based on the 2015 Nominal GDP (current US$) data from World Bank.
9 ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators database. Updated on 30 November 2018. Developing economies include the ‘least developed countries’ https://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Statistics/Pages/stat/default.aspx.
10 The World Bank, as at 19 April 2018. https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2018/04/19/financial-inclusion-on-the-rise-but-gaps-remain-global-findex-database-shows
11 World Bank’s The 2018 ID4D Global Dataset: https://blogs.worldbank.org/voices/global-identification-challenge-who-are-1-billion-people-without-proof-identity
12 Ministry of Electronics & IT, as at 27 January 2017. http://pib.nic.in/newsite/PrintRelease.aspx?relid=157709
13 Banking Correspondents (BCs) are individuals/ entities engaged by a bank in Indiafor providing banking services in unbanked / under-banked geographical territories. http://www.arthapedia.in/index.php?title= Banking_Correspondent_(BC)
14 Citing an official from the Unique Identification Authority of India, http://time.com/5409604/india-aadhaar-supreme-court/
15 World Bank, xii,
16 Money Life: https://www.moneylife.in/article/when-your-own-fingerprints-make-your-aadhaar-invalid/48694.html
17 Times of India: https:// timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/supreme-court-declares-centres-aadhaar-scheme-constitutionally-valid/articleshow/65961162.cms
18 EY: Innovation in financial inclusion 2017, P. 4.
19 EY: Innovation in Financial Inclusion. Latin America, Eastern Europe
20 Asia Development Bank, citing International Monetary Fund (2017).
21 China Daily, November 2018. http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201811/22/WS5bf61b3ca310eff30328a61f.html
22 Technode, March 2017. https:// technode.com/2017/03/30/agriculture-fintech-three-trillion-market/
23 Finextra, citing sources from Ant Financial, 21 June 2018: https://www.finextra.com/pressarticle/ 74424/ant-financials-mybank-to-open-up-tech-suite-to-other-banks
24 Accion, January 2018: https://www.accion.org/new-strategies-technologies-making-insurance-inclusive
25 The EcoFarmer Story: https://www.ecofarmer.co.zw/about
26 Reinsurance Group of America (RGA): https://www.rgare.com/knowledge-center/media/articles/unlocking-the-global-pote tial-of-microinsurance
27 CNN Money’s analysis: http://money.com/money/5330932/best-robo-advisors-beginner-advanced-2018/.
28 Rise of the machines: https:// www.businesstimes.com.sg/banking-finance/rise-of-the-machines-chinese-investors-flock-to-robo-advisers.
29 Statista, February 2019; selected regional only includes countries listed in the Digital Market Outlook.
30 EY Innovation in financial inclusion. Potentially USD200 billion in additional annual revenue for banks in 60 emerging markets.
31 Lloyd’s 360 Risk Insight: Exploring Opportunities in Microinsurance, Page 3.

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