2016 JAPAN EQUITY OUTLOOKIMPROVING CORPORATE HEALTH OFFERS A SIGNIFICANT OPPORTUNITY IN JAPAN
Insights
The game plan for 2016 is the same one we’ve been successfully executing for over ten years.
There are no bold forecasts to be made. We will leave you with a quote from Warren Buffett, which reflects our sentiments on the subject of contrarian investing.
“Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful”.
Here are some key take away on the market
In aggregate, the long process of balance sheet repair in Japan is well and truly over. Arguably for many companies, balance sheet health is “too strong” which points to a level of inefficiency. In fact some companies are now focused on improved capital efficiency, generating significant cash flow, and applying renewed balance sheet strength to pursue sensible expansion strategies.
Since the introduction of Abe’s reflationary policies, we have observed a shift in broad market expectations of mild deflation to expectations for inflation in Japan. A change in this economic imperative for domestic investors has increased their required returns amid even a mild inflationary environment.
Increased ownership of equities has sparked a rising focus on governance from domestic investors in order to “unlock value”.
Encouragingly for shareholders, more companies are returning value in the form of dividends and buybacks. There is a large scope for improvement but this change in corporate attitudes is setting a new tone for the Japanese corporate landscape.
BIOGRAPHY
Dean CashmanTeam Leader & Portfolio Manager, Japan Equity
Dean joined Eastspring Investments (Hong Kong) Limited in 2004 and relocated to Eastspring Investments (Singapore) Limited in 2007.
He is the Team Leader of Japan Equity and is also responsible for ‘Focused Value’ strategies.
Dean has more than 27 years of financial industry experience. Prior to joining Eastspring Investments, Dean worked for BT Fund Managers (Sydney) as the Head of Japanese equities.
Dean holds a B.Ec from University of Queensland, Australia (1987).